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2025: Bull Trap
What follows is a market summary of 2025: Consumer sentiment is at a 50 year low. The jobs market is imploding at the fastest pace since 2008. NDFI shadow loans are larger than subprime. The AI Ponzi bubble has peaked. Stocks are record over-valued. Households are record long stocks. Gold is soaring on inflation concerns. BofA is on a sell signal. And yet, pundits are sanguine going into 2026. Therefore it falls on us to ask, what could go wrong? Over the past 15 years, globa
Dec 31, 20253 min read


Rotation To Explosion
Let's see, we are told that the AI bubble remains perfectly intact but now everyone will rotate out of over-valued AI stocks at the same time. That is Wall Street's 2026 prediction in a nutshell... "As late 2025 draws to a close, a significant recalibration is underway in global financial markets, with investors increasingly rotating capital away from the once-dominant Big Tech and Artificial Intelligence (AI) sectors." Sounds great, but who is going to buy the Big Tech stoc
Dec 19, 20252 min read


Speculators Destroyed
I don't know what's going to happen next week, but we know with 100% certainty that bullish speculators have been categorically destroyed. That's not a matter of speculation. Pundits are desperately trying to keep the sheeple from bolting out of the Casino as market volatility picks up with each passing day. So they tell the people that the bull trend is still intact - this is still a bull market. At the major index level perhaps, but below the surface breadth has been implod
Nov 22, 20253 min read


Collapse-o-Mania
The weaker the economy, the more aggressive investors become in financial markets. Why? Because central banks have trained them to...
Sep 11, 20253 min read


The Trump Super Bubble
This is the largest bubble in human history without any comparison. Go big or go home. Picking up where we left off late last week, this...
Aug 28, 20252 min read


Terminal Artificial Intelligence
For most people, it's hard to see a bubble when they're putting their entire retirement into it. Because at this latent juncture the AI...
Aug 5, 20253 min read


Trade War Blow-Off Top
I never thought I would have to write a blog post with a title called "Trade War Blow-Off Top", however it's now obvious that Trump's...
Jul 11, 20253 min read


Ignorance Is Bliss
This past week culminated with the passing of the Trump tax cut. But this coming week features the re-escalation of the trade war that...
Jul 6, 20253 min read


Sisyphus Market
"In Greek mythology, King Sisyphus reveals Zeus's abduction of Aegina to the river god Asopus, thereby incurring Zeus's wrath. As his...
Jun 29, 20252 min read


FOMC: Fear Of Missing Crash
Remember SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) which were the locus of IPO-related fraud back in 2021 at the height of the...
Jun 17, 20252 min read


Waiting For THE Crash
What we've seen so far is child's play. What we're waiting for is the REAL Deal. Step back to the beginning of 2025. Imagine someone had...
Jun 10, 20252 min read


Sell In May And Go Away
Too late now... The pattern that I observed two blog posts ago is that Trump would escalate against a given country, markets would tank...
May 30, 20252 min read
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