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Trade War 2.0
The week started with a debt downgrade and ended with a resumption of the trade war. In between, retail stock gamblers were buying the...
May 24, 20253 min read


Denialation: The Problem That Fixes Itself
We were told that the first half of this year would be painful but that the "goodies" will come in the second half via the tax cut....
May 20, 20253 min read


Rope-a-Dope
The current market set-up is at least as lethal as the 2022 bear market. Which is now the best case scenario. The worst case scenario is...
May 12, 20253 min read


Bear Market As Usual
The path of this bear market is eerily following the 2022 pattern except it has been even more volatile and on higher volume. How deep...
May 6, 20253 min read


It Was All Going So Well
This week Trump celebrated his first 100 days in office and his major accomplishments. His goal from the outset was to implode the status...
Apr 30, 20254 min read


False Profit
It was another crazy week. By necessity, the lies got larger as the week progressed and the markets rallied back to maximum overbought....
Apr 26, 20252 min read


The Fool Or The Ones That Follow?
A very interesting thing happened this week. Over this past weekend, there were reports that Trump was looking for any way to replace...
Apr 23, 20253 min read


Secular Bear Market
First off, in order to set the table for my hypothesis of a secular bear market, let's discuss Wall Street's current S&P price predictions...
Apr 13, 20253 min read


MAD: Mutual Assured Destruction
In the lexicon of warfare, what's taking place between the U.S. and China in this trade war is the economic equivalent of self...
Apr 8, 20253 min read


Hard Landing Denial
The consistent theme of 2025 since Trump was inaugurated, has been investors in denial over the scope and scale of Trump's trade war. As...
Apr 7, 20253 min read


Black Swan Friday
As I described in my last blog post, a Black Swan trade war escalation took place this week catching both retail investors and...
Apr 4, 20253 min read


American Brexit
First off, take all predictions with a grain of salt mine, including this one. In fairness however I have been warning all along that...
Apr 3, 20255 min read
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