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Category Posts


Here Comes Santa Crash
So far, the most highly anticipated Santa Rally in world history is heading in the wrong direction. Chalk that up to lessons in Ponzi...
Dec 30, 20242 min read


2024 Year Of Ponzi
The year is basically over and Wall Street "won". The usual bagholders have gone all in and now the annual Wall Street bonus is off the...
Dec 26, 20242 min read


Ponzi Unwind
This week the Fed tanked markets with a hawkish pivot off of a universally expected and yet totally unwarranted rate cut. As I said on...
Dec 20, 20242 min read


Exceptional Delusion
The seminal week begins... On Thursday last week Trump was named Time's Person Of The Year and he rang the opening bell at the NYSE. Two...
Dec 16, 20242 min read


The Moment Of Truth
These next two weeks of global central bank meetings are setting up to be the most consequential two weeks of 2024 for markets. It's...
Dec 11, 20243 min read


Never Go FULL CASINO
There are rarely times in markets when one can say with absolute conviction that this is going to end extraordinarily badly, with 100%...
Dec 6, 20243 min read


The Big Bang Theory
Cycle overbought stock market Record leveraged speculation Record U.S. stock inflows Global Trade War / EM currency implosion Fed / BOJ...
Dec 4, 20242 min read


The Top Of The Ponzi Scheme
Pundits are already making predictions for 2025, because no one told them it's still 2024. "You never count your money while you're...
Nov 30, 20243 min read


Black Friday
For those who don't recall the etymology of "Black Friday", historically it was the day of the year when retailers finally turned a...
Nov 29, 20242 min read


Party Like It's 1929
The exact same data points that bulls are calling bullish, I call bearish. We've reached the point at which the bull case and the bear...
Nov 24, 20243 min read


The Apex of Artificial Intelligence.
Where to begin. A duct taped banana just sold for $6.2 million at auction: "At one point another artist took the banana off the wall and...
Nov 20, 20243 min read


ALL IN Trump Casino
In my last blog post last Tuesday I posited that we may have seen the last rate cut for this cycle - That the combination of fiscal...
Nov 17, 20243 min read
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