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Category Posts


The Golden Age of Fraud
If Fred Flintstone in the White House is not a warning. There is no warning... Earlier this week yet another Federal Reserve governor...
15 hours ago3 min read


Circus Crashius
Record valuations, record leverage, record Tech overweight, record complacency. What could go wrong? Now that the trade war has...
Aug 154 min read


Terminal Artificial Intelligence
For most people, it's hard to see a bubble when they're putting their entire retirement into it. Because at this latent juncture the AI...
Aug 53 min read


Party Like It's 1929
This coming week (August 1st), Trump will raise tariffs to the highest level since 1934, but markets are partying like it's 1929....
Jul 253 min read


Investing In Collapse
The good news is that I no longer predict that these Ponzified markets will crash from all time highs. I predict they will explode. First...
Jul 143 min read


FOMC: Fear Of Missing Crash
Remember SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) which were the locus of IPO-related fraud back in 2021 at the height of the...
Jun 172 min read


The Nuclear Option
The big "Liberation Day" is only one day away now and the most recent indications are that Trump is about to reach for the nuclear trade...
Apr 14 min read


FOMC Preview
Below I will discuss the various factors that will weigh on the Fed decision this week. First, we begin with the bull case: "Ned Davis...
Jan 28, 20242 min read


Central Bank Extravaganza
The goal of central banks over these next two weeks will be to close the "gap" between fantasy and reality: Weekend Barron's Magazine:...
Jan 22, 20242 min read


Consumer Sentiment Boom And Bust 3.0
"A so-called soft landing — where inflation returns the Fed's 2% target without a sharp economic downturn — has become close to a...
Jan 19, 20241 min read


Article Review: Cash On The Sidelines
The most common bullish argument lately is based on the fact that nominal money market balances have gone parabolic in the past couple of...
Jan 18, 20242 min read


WSJ Article Review: QT Wind Down
January 15th, 2024 "By slowing the pace at which its balance sheet shrinks, the central bank aims to prevent a messy disruption to the...
Jan 15, 20241 min read
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