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Category Posts


Speculators Destroyed
I don't know what's going to happen next week, but we know with 100% certainty that bullish speculators have been categorically destroyed. That's not a matter of speculation. Pundits are desperately trying to keep the sheeple from bolting out of the Casino as market volatility picks up with each passing day. So they tell the people that the bull trend is still intact - this is still a bull market. At the major index level perhaps, but below the surface breadth has been implod
Nov 223 min read


A Convergence Of Risks
First, an update from the last blog post... We have entered a lethal Twilight Zone between stock market rally and stock market crash. In this dubious gray zone of incipient market disintegration lives the most insidious lies that we have seen since this AI super bubble began. And the lies are large for a reason - because there is now blood in the water, hence the bagholders at large need to be convinced that this bubble is not a bubble. Or, if it is a bubble, it will continue
Nov 184 min read


The Last Asset Inflation (AI) Bubble
Entering the week of Monday November 10th, markets are bid on the belief that the end of the government shutdown is imminent. Hence there is now widespread belief that this is the beginning of the end of year Santa Rally. It's our job to ask in this largest Ponzi market of all time, what could go wrong? The health of this Potemkin economy now rests solely on this Asset Inflation (AI) bubble, because investors who are locked in their own happy AI circle jerk are spending freel
Nov 103 min read


The Big Short 2.0
First off, an update on the AI bubble: Since my last blog post, I noted on Twitter that the people investing in this AI bubble are eagerly handing over control of the entire economy to the Tech Oligarchs. In a world in which the majority of wealth is already concentrated in the hands of a tiny minority, this AI bubble is leading to a final concentration of wealth in the hands of the few. By the end if AI is "successful", then all jobs will be commodified and the unemployment
Nov 43 min read


AI Melt-up to Meltdown
AI is already smarter than the average human. Next stop, Chimpanzee... Where to begin... When OpenAI was founded ten years ago it was intended to be a non-profit organization scrutinizing the work of the AI industry to ensure the best outcomes for society. As has been thoroughly documented in the book Empire of AI by Karen Hao, over time OpenAI morphed from a non-profit to a partial profit to a take no prisoners porn purveyor which is where it is now. The safety concerns tha
Oct 304 min read


AI House Of Cards
Artificial Intelligence is bad for the economy, bad for financial markets, bad for the environment, and bad for society. Therefore it's...
Oct 103 min read


Flying Blind. Into The Ground
We are now in a government shutdown induced data blackout in a record Tech bubble. But don't worry, be fat dumb and happy. The Fed is...
Oct 63 min read


End of Cycle Risk
Pundits are starting to debate the AI bubble. Are we even in a bubble? Which stocks do you buy in a bubble? "Worries grow that stocks are...
Sep 292 min read


All Bubbles Explode
All asset bubbles inevitably end badly, so people always ask me - when is inevitable? Normally September is the worst month of the year,...
Sep 233 min read


Collapse-o-Mania
The weaker the economy, the more aggressive investors become in financial markets. Why? Because central banks have trained them to...
Sep 113 min read


The Trump Recession
Bulls finally got confirmation of a double rate cut for September. Now they will find out if it's what they really wanted after all. As I...
Sep 73 min read


The Golden Age of Fraud
If Fred Flintstone in the White House is not a warning. There is no warning... Earlier this week yet another Federal Reserve governor...
Aug 223 min read
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