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Category Posts


Crash Risk. HIGH.
For the past three days the market rallied in the morning and imploded in the afternoon, which is classic bear market action. This...
Jul 19, 20243 min read


Atlas Shrugged
"The world breaks everyone and afterward many are strong at the broken places. But those that will not break it kills" - Ernest...
Jul 16, 20243 min read


The New Permanent Plateau Of Moral Hazard
What follows are my philosophical musings on this new permanent plateau of moral hazard. I begin at the macro-level by repeating that...
Jul 13, 20243 min read


The Pivotal Moment
The moment that investors have been waiting for all year has arrived... An imploding jobs market. Sometimes I wonder, am I bullish or...
Jul 11, 20243 min read


2024: Year Of FOMO
Following is an update to my last blog post a week ago. A funny thing happened after Trump trounced Biden at their first debate...aside...
Jul 7, 20242 min read


The Summer of Meltdown
This post will begin with a rant and end with the summer of meltdown, so if you are easily triggered you should jump back to the...
Jun 30, 20243 min read


Bank Risk 2024
This is a mid-year update on U.S. bank risk. First off, let's review the events of the past year since the 2023 bank run. The bank run of...
Jun 26, 20244 min read


Reversal Of Fortune
Any questions? "The reversal in Nvidia shares comes ahead of Friday’s “triple witching” options expiration for June, expected to be the...
Jun 21, 20243 min read


Icarus Rally
The Artificial Intelligence melt-up has now become the global equivalent of a Gamestop pump and dump. Here we are witnessing summer...
Jun 17, 20243 min read


Asset Inflation Is Out of Control
Today the FOMC came out swinging, reducing their "dot plot" interest rate projections from three rate cuts down to one rate cut for all...
Jun 12, 20242 min read


Global System Test
Maximum risk is coalescing amid maximum complacency at all time highs because faith in central banks is now total. This global melt-up...
Jun 7, 20242 min read


The Era Of Artificial Intelligence
It's official, this past weekend Barron's took rate cuts totally off the table for 2024: "The Federal Reserve isn’t likely to lower...
Jun 3, 20243 min read
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