Category Posts

2026: Record Dislocation

It's that time of year when Wall Street pundits gaze into their Magic 8 ball and goalseek the exact level of GDP, earnings, and stock prices for the year ahead. Personally, I will not attempt voodoo to guess the exact level of unknowable future economic and financial metrics, I will merely predict that all of Wall Street's predictions will be off by a minus sign. And that their predictions will implode before the end of January. Google Gemini: "Wall Street analysts largely pr

Dec 10, 20254 min read

The Bubble Is Bursting

Let me be the first and only pundit to acknowledge that the Artificial Intelligence super asset bubble is officially imploding. It's all falling apart while investors are celebrating. Reading this, GOP acolytes will assume that I blame Trump for all of the problems. I don't, I blame rampant ignorance for this collapse, putting Trump at the epicenter. He is joined by his entire economic team, financial media pundits, Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and the masses at large. Trade

Oct 24, 20254 min read

1929 AI Crack High

It's unfortunate that global central banks happen to be easing into the apex of the largest Tech bubble in world history. But you trade the market you're given, not the one you want: "Artificial intelligence and technology have contributed to a remarkable boom in recent years. But, Sorkin said, today's economy is being propped up by the AI boom, and it's too soon to tell if this is a sugar rush, a short-term and unsustainable boost to the markets. But, Sorkin is positive ther

Oct 13, 20253 min read