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The Perfect Storm
In markets as in real life, the crazier things get the more human beings attempt to "normalize" absurdity. It's a form of mental defense...
Mar 7, 20244 min read


The Super Minsky Moment
When Nassim Taleb coined "The Black Swan Event" he did Wall Street a huge favour - He gave them plausible deniability to ignore all risk...
Mar 4, 20243 min read


Financial WMD
This is the monthly market report for February 2024. This is all an experiment in maximum financial idiocy. The results of which are TBD....
Feb 29, 20243 min read


The Casino Is On Fire
This is a special report ahead of the PCE inflation report tomorrow (Thursday). The animal spirits are running hot right now ahead of the...
Feb 28, 20242 min read


The Casinofication of Markets
Over the weekend Warren Buffett remarked that markets were increasingly resembling a casino. He came up with several different plausible...
Feb 27, 20243 min read


Fed Policy Error Update
It was a boring day on the markets so I was perusing some of my Fed (FRED) database charts and noticed that consumer delinquencies have...
Feb 26, 20242 min read


Buy And Hold Is Dead
It died a long time ago. No one seemed to notice. Certainly no investment advisors. Late Friday, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway...
Feb 25, 20243 min read


Artificial Intelligence. Strong Buy.
This is the weekly market summary for the week ending February 23rd, 2024. Last week I wrote about the AI Supernova. That rally peaked on...
Feb 22, 20243 min read


Global Market Review
With the U.S. closed, let's take a look at what's going on around the world. First, the European Composite (weekly) hedged in Euro terms:...
Feb 19, 20241 min read


Housing Pandemonium
This article is a follow-up to my first post on the housing market. In the last article I showed the long-term home price index for the...
Feb 19, 20244 min read


AI Supernova
This is the weekly market report for the week ending February 16th, 2024. It's been a crazy week. Hard to believe but the AI melt-up that...
Feb 16, 20243 min read


The End Of The Hype Cycle
This is the weekly market report for week ending February 9th, 2024. My overall hypothesis is that extreme asset inflation is obscuring...
Feb 9, 20244 min read
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