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Here Comes Deflation
Investors are aggressively positioned for rate cuts, because no one told them that rate cuts in a depression are not bullish. On Wall Street there can be no such thing as a reason to sell stocks. First off, let's start with the definitions for inflation versus deflation because people generally get hung up on these definitions based solely upon their own personal experience. By inflation I mean an economic scenario in which prices in the economy are rising faster than middle
Oct 21, 20253 min read


AI CRASH MODE
In my last blog post I asserted that the pressure is off me now because Andrew Ross Sorkin who was formerly a writer at the WSJ and is now a morning commentator on CNBC, just asserted that this current market is reminiscent of 1929. However, what he didn't predict was when a crash would arrive and how big it would be. Which I thought was lame, and demanded further analysis. Let's start by saying that the magnitude of any crash whether it's 1929, 1987, March 2020, or even Apri
Oct 16, 20253 min read


1929 AI Crack High
It's unfortunate that global central banks happen to be easing into the apex of the largest Tech bubble in world history. But you trade the market you're given, not the one you want: "Artificial intelligence and technology have contributed to a remarkable boom in recent years. But, Sorkin said, today's economy is being propped up by the AI boom, and it's too soon to tell if this is a sugar rush, a short-term and unsustainable boost to the markets. But, Sorkin is positive ther
Oct 13, 20253 min read


AI House Of Cards
Artificial Intelligence is bad for the economy, bad for financial markets, bad for the environment, and bad for society. Therefore it's...
Oct 10, 20253 min read


Flying Blind. Into The Ground
We are now in a government shutdown induced data blackout in a record Tech bubble. But don't worry, be fat dumb and happy. The Fed is...
Oct 6, 20253 min read


The Golden Age Is OVER
"And so we were told this is the golden age And gold is the reason for the wars we wage" Many people believe that if you short stocks...
Oct 2, 20252 min read


End of Cycle Risk
Pundits are starting to debate the AI bubble. Are we even in a bubble? Which stocks do you buy in a bubble? "Worries grow that stocks are...
Sep 29, 20252 min read


All Bubbles Explode
All asset bubbles inevitably end badly, so people always ask me - when is inevitable? Normally September is the worst month of the year,...
Sep 23, 20253 min read


FOMC: Fear of Missing Crash
It's Trump's bad fortune that he was elected at the end of the cycle. But then he went and made it far worse by starting a trade war. Now...
Sep 17, 20253 min read


Collapse-o-Mania
The weaker the economy, the more aggressive investors become in financial markets. Why? Because central banks have trained them to...
Sep 11, 20253 min read


The Trump Recession
Bulls finally got confirmation of a double rate cut for September. Now they will find out if it's what they really wanted after all. As I...
Sep 7, 20253 min read


The Trump Super Bubble
This is the largest bubble in human history without any comparison. Go big or go home. Picking up where we left off late last week, this...
Aug 28, 20252 min read
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